Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.1% on 12 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 12 Apr 2025 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 1.1% on 12 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Apr 2025. $4.31M traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 12 Apr 2025 – 30 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2025 | 1.1% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 44.01K |
| Ix5PXm8L3MMy4vYsw | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the House of Commons between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Canadian general election (e.g. Liberals control 190, Conservatives control 100, difference = 90). If neither the Conservative nor Liberal party win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/canada-election-of-seats-margin-of-victory
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