Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 9.3% on 25 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 9.3% on 25 Jul 2024 and the low 0.1% on 6 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 3.8% on 26 Jul 2024. $5.29M traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 10:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 25 Jul 2024 – 6 Aug 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2024 | 9.3% |
| 6 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.72M |
| politik | Yes | 320.66K |
| winbet | Yes | 203.23K |
| sleepyboden | Yes | 167K |
| ProteinProsecco | Yes | 163.25K |
| LaCuriosidad | Yes | 60.51K |
| Spooootnik | Yes | 54.15K |
| sirmapy | Yes | 37.5K |
| DividedSkies | Yes | 11.5K |
| Daring-Comb | Yes | 11.09K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a man other than Mark Kelly, Josh Shapiro, Roy Cooper, Andy Beshear, Tim Walz, Pete Buttigieg, J. B. Prtizker, Mark Cuban, Wes Moore, Barack Obama, Gavin Newsom, Tim Ryan, Joe Biden, Raphael Warnock, William McRaven, or Bernie Sanders is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/democratic-vp-nominee
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