Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 77.5% on 11 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 160 daily closes on record from 11 Dec 2024 to 19 May 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 6 May 2025 and the lowest 45% on 23 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 90.5% on 10 Mar 2025. $173.96K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 20, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 160 points, 11 Dec 2024 – 19 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2024 | 77.5% |
| 19 May 2025 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 25.83K |
| Forthright-Cable | Yes | 14.64 |
| TZLOP | No | 10.01 |
This is a market on the margin of victory in the upcoming Romania Presidential Election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/romania-presidential-election-margin-of-victory
| Keen Oracle A6DA | No | 6.26 |
| SunstoneLoomisLedge | Yes | 4.87 |
| Royal Vector DB43 | No | 4.62 |
| Ivory Comet 74A0 | No | 4.17 |
| Misty Harbor BC1E | No | 3.64 |
| Lovaporion | Yes | 3.07 |
| Ivory Raven F011 | No | 1.61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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