Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.8%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 13 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2024 to 14 Aug 2024, the highest close was 24.5% on 13 Aug 2024 and the lowest 2.3% on 14 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 2.3% on 14 Aug 2024. $374.02 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 6:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 Aug 2024 – 14 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2024 | 24.5% |
| 14 Aug 2024 | 2.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.7K |
| Nonceness | Yes | 0.02 |
| Apsalar | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate other than Rebecca Cooke or Katrina Shankland wins the 2024 Democratic Primary for the 8th Wisconsin Congressional District (WI-3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2024 Democratic Primary for the 8th Wisconsin Congressional District (WI-8) takes place this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wi-3-democratic-primary-winner
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