Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.1%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 17 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 45 daily closes on record from 17 Apr 2026 to 1 Jun 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 69% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 1.9% on 1 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 69% on 29 Apr 2026. $2.11K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 4:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 17 Apr 2026 – 1 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2026 | 46.5% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-canadian-mp-crosses-the-floor-by
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 43.39 |
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| wwder | Yes | 10 |
| Past-Misrepresentation | Yes | 10 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
