
Resolved No on 30 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 65.5%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 26 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2024 to 30 Jul 2024, the highest close was 34.5% on 30 Jul 2024 and the lowest 19.5% on 27 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 19.5% on 27 Jul 2024. $1.36K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 31, 9:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 26 Jul 2024 – 30 Jul 2024, chart shows 15%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2024 | 33.5% |
| 30 Jul 2024 | 34.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.53K |
| Reg70 | Yes | 1.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
800m Freestyle (M)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/800m-freestyle-m-gold-medal-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page