
Resolved No on 10 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2024 to 10 Aug 2024, the highest close was 50% on 27 Jul 2024 and the lowest 13.5% on 9 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 14% on 7 Aug 2024. $906 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 11, 6:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 27 Jul 2024 – 10 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2024 | 50.0% |
| 10 Aug 2024 | 14.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5K |
| namerandom92 | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the winner of the men's 5000m race.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/5000m-m-gold-medal-winner
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