Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 60.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 20 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2025 to 3 Mar 2025, the highest close was 60.5% on 3 Mar 2025 and the lowest 46% on 21 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 46% on 25 Feb 2025. $258.15K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 4, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 20 Feb 2025 – 3 Mar 2025, chart shows 40%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2025 | 48.0% |
| 3 Mar 2025 | 60.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.5K |
| ChefSanches | No | 377.13 |
| JayVance | No | 116.98 |
| icarly | Yes | 90 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025, the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. This market will resolve to the film that wins a greater number of Oscars than any other in the 2025 Academy Awards. Oscars won by people for their participation in the creation of a film will count toward that film's number of Oscars. If for any reason no winners are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-movie-will-win-the-most-oscars
| svy | No | 47.62 |
| asdf87 | No | 6.98 |
| Violet Orbit 2D99 | No | 6.52 |
| yurivaz | Yes | 2.73 |
| akl-4ibm | Yes | 0.08 |
| bistrogons | Yes | 0.03 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
