Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 38.5%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 18 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 18 Dec 2024 to 6 Jan 2025, the highest close was 76% on 24 Dec 2024 and the lowest 52.5% on 18 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 69.5% on 19 Dec 2024. $99.81K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 2:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 18 Dec 2024 – 6 Jan 2025, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2024 | 52.5% |
| 6 Jan 2025 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.75K |
| Melody626 | Yes | 1.11K |
| KimbalMusk | Yes | 100 |
| circoloco | Yes | 1.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group over who will win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/golden-globes-best-screenplay
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Silver Oracle 0CDF | No | 0.26 |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 0.02 |
| RobXK | Yes | 0.02 |
| marksman | No | 0.02 |
| TheRealPatrickBateman | Yes | 0.02 |
| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | No | 0.01 |
