Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.1%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 14 Nov 2025 and the low 2.9% on 17 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 13% on 15 Nov 2025. $141.2K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 36 points · 14 Nov 2025 – 18 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 49.5% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 3.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 91.44K |
| Formulaa | Yes | 8.94K |
| eNakeVets | Yes | 6.38K |
| BettingForTuition | Yes | 6K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending November 2025, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12-month period ending in November 2025 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for November 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on December 10, 2025, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/november-inflation-annual
| Mimn | Yes | 5.63K |
| back-in-whack | Yes | 3.86K |
| vtri | Yes | 2.5K |
| SamaelPham | Yes | 2.09K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 1.67K |
| NeverDie | Yes | 1.3K |
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