Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 30.5%. Yes opened at 52% on 16 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the highest close was 52% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 36.5% on 17 Oct 2026. $630.07 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 12:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 52.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Flingflonger | No | 38.24 |
| galhammerman | No | 32.14 |
| mannyp | No | 11.76 |
| prediction233 | No | 7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Andy Burnham is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Andy Burnham does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Andy Burnham ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Andy Burnham titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/andy-burnham/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
| cabbage | No | 6.66 |
| Cobalt Raven D88C | No | 5 |
| shugafa | Yes | 0.95 |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-andy-burnham-say-at-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event-20261021
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