Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 21 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 21 Jun 2025 to 23 Jul 2025, the highest close was 43% on 23 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 0.1% on 26 Jun 2025. $21.53K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 23, 6:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 21 Jun 2025 – 23 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2025 | 24.5% |
| 23 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.23K |
| SHARKS-515 | Yes | 2.17K |
| Rapid Oracle 0C68 | Yes | 910 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the first round ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for Andrew Cuomo in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the first-round vote share received by Andrew Cuomo and the vote share received by the second-place candidate. First-round vote shares will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates received by the sum of all first round votes cast. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Andrew Cuomo does not receive the most first round votes, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the first RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/andrew-cuomo-first-round-mov-in-nyc-dem-mayoral-primary
| Yes |
| 866.67 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 663.5 |
| Royal Orbit D77E | Yes | 605 |
| Zhxnqu | Yes | 520 |
| Rapid Quasar 46DC | Yes | 390 |
| nightcrawler | Yes | 173 |
| LetsGoGolfing | Yes | 142.03 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
