Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 23% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 311 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 88.1% on 25 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 10 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 14% on 22 Dec 2025. $22.92K traded over the market's life.
332 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 311 points, 26 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2025 | 23.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| AutisticMoney | Yes | 318.08 |
| Grim-Collector | Yes | 194.05 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Erewhon opens in New York City, New York, by December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that an Erewhon location has officially opened for service within the territory of NYC will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Erewhon (https://erewhon.com/locations), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-an-erewhon-open-in-nyc-in-2025
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
| MarioMangione | Yes | 169.72 |
| Misty Horizon AD87 | Yes | 159 |
| Azure Atlas 2618 | Yes | 156 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 150 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 148 |
| Golden Pioneer 7771 | Yes | 136 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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