Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 44% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2025 to 11 Oct 2025, the highest close was 51.5% on 8 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 4.5% on 9 Oct 2025. $95.6K traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 7 Oct 2025 – 11 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 44.0% |
| 11 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 24.87K |
| EmpirePending | Yes | 6.63K |
| Kainark | Yes | 3.69K |
| MotherMarketMaker | Yes | 1.81K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the next appointed Prime Minister of France, succeeding Sébastien Lecornu,. Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote. If no new PM is appointed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to “No new PM”. If the President of France calls new elections prior to appointing a new PM, this market will resolve to “Election called”. The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-french-prime-minister-469
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| duderr | Yes | 1.44K |
| Square-Magnitude | Yes | 913.67 |
| AbdekOmar | Yes | 500 |
| Finalyty | Yes | 410 |
| mazzaccone | Yes | 339.88 |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 322.07 |
