Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 17 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 254 daily closes on record from 17 Sep 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (34 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44% on 9 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 44% on 9 Dec 2025. $94.31K traded over the market's life.
125 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 6:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 254 points, 17 Sep 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2025 | 6.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Firm-Tailbud | Yes | 3.21K |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 2K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 1K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-acquire-tiktok-559
| norealtime | Yes | 1K |
| JOHT | Yes | 1K |
| Sparse-Hotel | Yes | 854 |
| Usable-Religion | Yes | 500 |
| jeli8 | Yes | 401.44 |
| Drangtian | Yes | 399.99 |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 355 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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