Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2024 Sinquefield Cup?

Resolved

Yes, settled Aug 28, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$36.9K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 28, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 28 Aug 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 20 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2024 to 28 Aug 2024, the highest close was 95% on 28 Aug 2024 and the lowest 18.5% on 23 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 81% on 27 Aug 2024. $36.89K traded over the market's life.

3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 29, 8:57 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 20 Aug 2024 – 28 Aug 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
20 Aug 2024	22.5%
28 Aug 2024	95.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	12.38K
hgffg343434	No	25.44
Sardinianshepherd	Yes	0.02

3 of 3 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules