Will Alireza Firouzja Win EWC 2026 Chess?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 15, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.3K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 15, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25% on 12 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 15 Aug 2026, the highest close was 25% on 12 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 11.5% on 13 Aug 2026. $2.33K traded over the market's life.

19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 15 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
12 Aug 2026	25.0%
15 Aug 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.74K
Ho-LeeShit	Yes	349.04
balthazar	Yes	269.99
Tiny-Combat	Yes	85.47

10 of 19 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Chess tournament at the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC 2026), currently scheduled for August 11, 2026 to August 15, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.