Resolved No on 28 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 6 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2026 to 28 Jun 2026, the highest close was 49% on 6 Jun 2026 and the lowest 20% on 23 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 23% on 18 Jun 2026. $14.76K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 3:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 6 Jun 2026 – 28 Jun 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2026 | 49.0% |
| 28 Jun 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | Yes | 10.07K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.38K |
| cottonwithsky | Yes | 161.15 |
| Phony-Saddle | Yes | 123 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-group-j-second-place-20260605152843566
| melchior1248 | Yes | 120 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic | Yes | 104.93 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 30 |
| hesure | Yes | 20 |
| Loghzayel | Yes | 18.18 |
| jr12 | Yes | 14.12 |
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