Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.3%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 15 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2025 to 4 Feb 2025, the highest close was 20.5% on 15 Jan 2025 and the lowest 1.7% on 22 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 10% on 16 Jan 2025. $1.69K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 5, 6:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 15 Jan 2025 – 4 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2025 | 20.5% |
| 4 Feb 2025 | 1.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ktongue | No | 1.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Alexander Isak will leave Newcastle United during the winter transfer window by February 3, 2025, 6:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Alexander Isak is transferred to another club, is loaned to another club, terminates his contract with Newcastle United, or retires: this market will resolve to “Yes”. Only announcements of departures set for the winter transfer window will qualify. Announcements of future transfers/departures after the Winter transfer window will not count. This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from Alexander Isak, Newcastle, or the signing club.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-alexander-isak-leave-newcastle-in-the-winter-transfer-window
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