Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 26 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 95 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2025 to 28 Sep 2025, the highest close was 13% on 16 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.8 points down, to 2.7% on 23 Jul 2025. $14.08K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 29, 8:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 95 points, 26 Jun 2025 – 28 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2025 | 9.5% |
| 28 Sep 2025 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.82K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4.92K |
| rated | Yes | 756.47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the rider who wins the 2025 MotoGP World Championship. If no 2025 MotoGP World Championship winner is announced by January 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the first official results published by MotoGP (https://www.motogp.com/en).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/motogp-world-championship-winner
| Yes |
| 40 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 28 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 12 |
| Belindha | Yes | 10 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
