Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?

Name: Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No, settled Jan 27, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.1M

Resolved

Settled

Jan 27, 2026 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.86M	0.0%	$0
AusBettor	Yes	46.73K	1.1%	$494.02
synnet	Yes	37.49K	1.3%	$477.52
tsihkodiives	Yes	29.34K	1.1%	$316.55	Jan 26, 6:57 PM UTC
leegunner	Yes	27.08K	1.0%	$274.63	Jan 27, 10:28 AM UTC
polipok3t	Yes	23.9K	1.0%	$243.99
rated	Yes	23.79K	0.0%	$0	Jan 27, 10:55 AM UTC
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	20.48K	0.0%	$0	Jan 27, 10:58 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	17.52K	0.0%	$0	Jan 26, 8:19 AM UTC
Drakemayee	Yes	11.22K	1.3%	$149.99
k1tten	Yes	9.71K	0.0%	$0	Jan 27, 5:14 AM UTC
Anjun	Yes	8.27K	0.0%	$0
alexdumi13	Yes	6.1K	1.0%	$61
DavidShekel	Yes	5K	0.0%	$0
Athletic-Sender	Yes	4.57K	1.0%	$45.46
Middler0x	Yes	3.6K	1.2%	$43.2
paulwal	Yes	3.3K	0.8%	$27.77
pskdjnferrgf	Yes	3.02K	1.7%	$50	Jan 26, 9:02 PM UTC
NFTGuy777	Yes	3K	1.1%	$33
Jade Falcon 2704	Yes	2.96K	1.1%	$31.5	Jan 25, 8:18 PM UTC
isheth	Yes	2.83K	1.3%	$36.94	Jan 27, 9:27 AM UTC
PaulToy	Yes	2.69K	0.0%	$0	Jan 27, 8:47 AM UTC
DonaldRump	Yes	2.6K	1.5%	$38.93	Jan 27, 11:16 AM UTC
Motleyfool7	Yes	2.46K	1.0%	$25
borja13	Yes	2.11K	1.0%	$20.98
EdwardLewis	Yes	2.11K	0.0%	$0
Different-Tenant	Yes	1.5K	1.2%	$18	Jan 26, 10:33 PM UTC
NoMoreMister	Yes	1.45K	0.0%	$0
Marshall-Placid	Yes	1.27K	1.4%	$17.43	Jan 27, 10:15 AM UTC
winwin13	Yes	1.08K	0.8%	$8.64
cryptic123	Yes	1K	0.0%	$0
Kriskata	Yes	1K	1.0%	$10
ttzissiTT	Yes	999.98	0.9%	$9	Jan 26, 3:03 PM UTC
noidsam	Yes	999.96	1.1%	$10.85	Jan 25, 8:10 PM UTC
paspor	Yes	906.01	1.8%	$16.78	Jan 26, 3:57 AM UTC
Naxiep	Yes	734.08	1.2%	$8.71
Amber Horizon 6EB5	Yes	723	0.0%	$0
panama507	Yes	631.88	1.6%	$10	Jan 26, 7:56 PM UTC
RITB123	Yes	625.55	1.0%	$6.26	Jan 26, 10:40 AM UTC
Kungfumaso	Yes	600	0.9%	$5.5
lguedes	Yes	582.22	0.9%	$5
bomGG	Yes	500	0.8%	$4
ShemGoltz	Yes	500	1.0%	$5
kamilooppe	Yes	500	0.8%	$4
blairear	Yes	437.65	1.1%	$5	Jan 27, 9:56 AM UTC
Atomi123	Yes	375	0.8%	$3
Eastwind	Yes	300	1.0%	$3
0xNimrod	Yes	300	0.9%	$2.7
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	282	0.1%	$0.28
edt777	Yes	233.33	1.3%	$3	Jan 26, 2:20 AM UTC
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	222	0.1%	$0.22
Worse-Ideal	Yes	200	1.0%	$2
dolch	Yes	192.31	0.9%	$1.69
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	184	0.1%	$0.18
Ox04mads084hj5t20n34v144v1	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Crimson Vector F03A	Yes	146	0.1%	$0.15
16muthafuckina	Yes	142.86	1.3%	$1.86	Jan 26, 4:13 AM UTC
Miniature-Proliferation	Yes	130	0.8%	$1.04
larovitchhhhh	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
Worn-Secretariat	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
objectivehornet	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
Reyes9	Yes	124.97	0.8%	$1
PrimePenguin	Yes	122.82	1.2%	$1.47	Jan 26, 6:35 AM UTC
CharlesMcgill	Yes	114.12	0.9%	$1
glatham3	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
InstaPanic	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
Ovchavit	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1	Jan 26, 2:45 PM UTC
Beacons	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1	Jan 26, 2:00 PM UTC
degenNerd	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
jojoba	Yes	93.08	1.1%	$1
Half-Grandmother	Yes	71.43	1.4%	$1	Jan 26, 4:47 AM UTC
Jade Harbor B075	Yes	51	0.1%	$0.05
Deafening-Possible	Yes	50	0.1%	$0.05
Ticklemepickle	Yes	20	0.6%	$0.12
rocketcrypto	Yes	15	1.0%	$0.15
SUKAHLUHA	Yes	15	1.0%	$0.15
rocket661	Yes	15	1.0%	$0.15
luuuur	Yes	14	0.1%	$0.01
Mike19009	Yes	10.84	0.9%	$0.1	Jan 25, 7:41 PM UTC
sparkboost	No	10	99.1%	$9.91	Jan 26, 7:52 AM UTC
AsuraSmellsLikeASS	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
Bright Signal 14DE	Yes	9	0.1%	$0.01
andrena	No	8	99.4%	$7.95
justinsun-	No	7.39	99.2%	$7.33	Jan 26, 11:33 AM UTC
peepeehua	Yes	7.21	0.9%	$0.06
Evador	Yes	5.53	0.6%	$0.03
xiaomaozi	No	5	99.4%	$4.97
TomWlyy96ScW	No	1.09	99.0%	$1.08

88 of 88 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$2.86M
sparkboost	$10
andrena	$8

Analytics