Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 47% on 7 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 77 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2026 to 24 Mar 2026, the highest close was 47% on 7 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 7.5% on 26 Jan 2026.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 25, 2:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 24 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 47.0% |
| 24 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 11.17K |
| Calculating-Judgment | Yes | 3.96K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 223 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/la-paz-mayoral-election-winner-bolivia
| Yes |
| 100 |
| ab176 | Yes | 59.99 |
| human.bean | Yes | 57.2 |
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
| tiancs | Yes | 50 |
| Dim-Glut | Yes | 44.56 |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 43.94 |
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