Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 108 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 26 Mar 2026, the highest close was 51% on 30 Dec 2025 and the lowest 8% on 11 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 51% on 30 Dec 2025. $13.74K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 27, 10:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 108 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 26 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 50.5% |
| 26 Mar 2026 | 11.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Zafinar | Yes | 1.5K |
| Speedy-Automation | Yes | 637 |
| Quixotic-Kick | Yes | 402.65 |
This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-which-countries-qualify
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 111.45 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 65.07 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 34 |
| Skinny-Girdle | Yes | 21.74 |
| PX5300 | Yes | 20 |
| hesure | Yes | 12 |
| Whimsical-Gauntlet | Yes | 9.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
