Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 2 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 142 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2025 to 28 Mar 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 9.6% on 24 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 20 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.3 points up, to 9.6% on 27 Nov 2025. $946.98K traded over the market's life.
128 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 5:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 142 points, 2 Nov 2025 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | 6.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 653.8K |
| Drizzl3r | Yes | 86.37K |
| AABBBAAAA | Yes | 36.19K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-ncaa-tournament-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 33K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 30K |
| Ship-Of-Theseus | Yes | 30K |
| crudeoilmoney | Yes | 19K |
| synnet | Yes | 14.48K |
| TraderBackwards | Yes | 10.53K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 6.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
