
Resolved No on 15 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 45.5%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 24 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 24 Apr 2026 to 15 May 2026, the highest close was 57.5% on 11 May 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 30 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 38% on 12 May 2026. $714.59 traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 4:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 24 Apr 2026 – 15 May 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2026 | 41.5% |
| 15 May 2026 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 44gjk | Yes | 171 |
| seventytwo72 | Yes | 70.34 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| MaeB | Yes | 7.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Drake is expected to release his new album "ICEMAN" in 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.). If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Shaaaark | Yes | 5 |
| AkshatG | Yes | 2.9 |
| 42ds | No | 2.41 |
| Golden Raven 7A91 | Yes | 1.54 |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-said-on-iceman
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