Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 1 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2025 to 12 Nov 2025, the highest close was 99.4% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 18% on 2 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 90.5% on 11 Nov 2025. $10.8K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 1 Nov 2025 – 12 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | 32.5% |
| 12 Nov 2025 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.16K |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 305 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 138 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 104 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Adelita Grijalva, a Democrat who won the September 23, 2025, special election for Arizona’s 7th Congressional District, holds the modern record for the longest delay between election and swearing-in to the U.S. House. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Adelita Grijalva is officially sworn in as the member of the U.S. House of Representatives for Arizona’s 7th Congressional District by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, Adelita Grijalva must have publicly and officially taken the oath of office administered by the Speaker of the House or a designated presiding officer during a recognized House session within this market’s timeframe, or otherwise had a House-recognized off-floor oath administered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. House of Representatives or the Office of the Speaker; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-adelita-grijalva-be-sworn-in
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 101 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 63 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | No | 17 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 14 |
| wertwerwer | No | 1.11 |
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