Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 15% on 6 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 6 Jul 2023 to 1 Aug 2023, the highest close was 15% on 6 Jul 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 21 Jul 2023. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 3.5% on 7 Jul 2023. $7.24K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 6:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 6 Jul 2023 – 1 Aug 2023, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2023 | 15.0% |
| 1 Aug 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Elaborate-Badger | Yes | 5 |
| testing43433434 | Yes | 3.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Adam22 or Lena The Plug publicly confirms their break-up by July 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. This can include direct statements or any unambiguous indicators of a break-up (e.g., "single" status updates on official social media accounts, etc.). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information released via their official social media accounts (e.g. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCj0V64c_IvFrDPqZHHl2mcQ, https://twitter.com/lenatheplug?lang=en, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-adam22-and-lena-the-plug-break-up-this-month
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