Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 63% on 2 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2024 to 13 Apr 2024, the highest close was 99.6% on 9 Apr 2024 and the lowest 6.5% on 7 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 6.5% on 7 Mar 2024. $622.62K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 2 Mar 2024 – 13 Apr 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2024 | 63.0% |
| 13 Apr 2024 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 35.37K |
| tjrickoriginal | Yes | 232.53 |
| shac | No | 1.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Update: This market refers to the vote for the full six-year senate-term. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Adam Schiff gets first place in the Primary for United States Senator from California. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". First place means getting the most votes in the Primary. If no 2024 California Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from California, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/first-place-in-california-senate-primary
| Yes |
| 0.09 |
| Tenable-Dome | Yes | 0.09 |
| godpoc | Yes | 0.05 |
| MaxMeng | Yes | 0.01 |
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