Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 5 Sep 2026 and the low 0.9% on 11 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 27% on 6 Sep 2026. $1K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 12, 7:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 5 Sep 2026 – 11 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PippiTrader | Yes | 366.98 |
| Elastic-Banquette | Yes | 245.71 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 7 2026, any 1-minute candle for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-abnb-hit-week-of-september-7-2026
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