Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 28 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2026 to 18 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 25% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 10% on 12 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 10% on 12 Mar 2026.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 19, 3:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 28 Feb 2026 – 18 Mar 2026, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | 15.5% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 25.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dlbdlbdlb | Yes | 456.14 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 218.85 |
| paas2 | Yes | 90 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 17.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the player who is selected as the Most Valuable Player of the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wbc-most-valuable-player
| jeter0304 | Yes | 16.88 |
| Half-Mosquito | Yes | 6 |
| V4Vandetta | Yes | 2.33 |
| Colorless-Payment | Yes | 0.09 |
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