Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 16% on 22 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 22 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 47% on 3 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 20% on 5 Dec 2025. $8.45K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 22 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | 16.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tailevent | Yes | 599.99 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 443 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 181 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 170 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Apple (AAPL) hit before 2026?
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-aapl-hit-before-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 151 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| maomiao | Yes | 130.97 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 126 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 111 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 88 |
