Will 'A Working Man' gross between 11-14m on opening weekend?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 31, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$70.2K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 31, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 31 Mar 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 38% on 25 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2025 to 31 Mar 2025, the highest close was 79.5% on 29 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 78 points down, to 1.6% on 30 Mar 2025. $70.18K traded over the market's life.

6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 3:40 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 25 Mar 2025 – 31 Mar 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Mar 2025	38.0%
31 Mar 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	12.48K
Fartard	Yes	1.09K
aidentika	No	0.07
JDULIA	No	0.02

6 of 6 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to how much “A Working Man” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/A-Working-Man-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 28 - March 30) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by April 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.