
Resolved No on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 38%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 21 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 21 Jun 2026 to 12 Jul 2026, the highest close was 73% on 1 Jul 2026 and the lowest 36% on 26 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 36% on 26 Jun 2026. $4.41K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 21 Jun 2026 – 12 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2026 | 50.5% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 62.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fatal-Publisher | Yes | 2.22K |
| Insecure-Statement | Yes | 1.06K |
| 999ssf | Yes | 68.64 |
| bullishkirby | Yes | 64.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to yes if the team winning 1st place in the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 (MSI 2026) does not lose a single series during the tournament, currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. Play-in matches will count for the purposes of this market. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 26, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Resolution source: lolesports.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-team-win-msi-without-dropping-a-series-20260619190039361
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| georgemaster | Yes | 20 |
| Terpex | Yes | 16.43 |
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