Analytics
Resolved No on 7 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 7 May 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 47.5% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 14.5% on 23 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 47.5% on 30 Apr 2026. $183.94 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 8, 11:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 7 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 43.5% |
| 7 May 2026 | 22.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cosmic Maven F666 | Yes | 34.48 |
| siying | Yes | 16.13 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 16.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the home nation of the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League winner. If at any point it becomes impossible for any club from the listed country to win the UEFA Europa Conference League (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-conference-league-home-country-of-champion
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