Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 33% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 104 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 9 Jul 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 33% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 2.8% on 5 Mar 2026. $87.41K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 10, 9:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 104 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 9 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 33.0% |
| 9 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 88.48K |
| JuiceFarm | Yes | 5K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 3.3K |
This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 26 - July 12, 2026. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used. Regions counted in MSI 2026: - LCK (South Korea) - LPL (China) - LEC (Europe / EMEA) - LCP (Asia-Pacific) - LCS (North America) - CBLOL (Brazil)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lol-msi-2026-winning-region
| Yes |
| 3K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 2.31K |
| Bigdog6666 | Yes | 2.27K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.98K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 1.68K |
| pd.unique | Yes | 1.4K |
| korda77 | Yes | 830.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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