Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved Yes on 7 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.5%. Yes opened at 91.5% on 9 May 2024. Before it settled, the high was 98.8% on 5 Nov 2024 and the low 59.5% on 17 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 59.5% on 17 Oct 2024. $46.24K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 8:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 183 points, 9 May 2024 – 7 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 May 2024 | 91.5% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 98.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.2K |
| carbonpenguin | Yes | 0.09 |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Vermont gubernatorial election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/vermont-governor-election-winner
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