Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 19% on 9 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 182 daily closes on record from 9 May 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, the highest close was 38.5% on 30 Jun 2024 and the lowest 3% on 4 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 28% on 23 Jul 2024. $545.07K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 5:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 182 points, 9 May 2024 – 6 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 May 2024 | 19.0% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 85.93K |
| Crowded-Intensity | Yes | 10.36K |
| BriansBets | Yes | 1.02K |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the North Carolina Governor election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-carolina-governor-election-winner
| basilroll | Yes | 325 |
| Newguy-655 | Yes | 100 |
| ZipperSljk | Yes | 62.96 |
| brianchu8482 | Yes | 50 |
| SvenMcSven | Yes | 40 |
| Emerald Harbor F255 | Yes | 22.73 |
| Frightened-Coupon | Yes | 16.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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