Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 97.5% on 21 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 21 Sep 2024 to 7 Nov 2024, the highest close was 99.4% on 7 Nov 2024 and the lowest 96.4% on 31 Oct 2024. $18.02K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 9:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 21 Sep 2024 – 7 Nov 2024, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2024 | 97.5% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.54K |
| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | No | 6.85 |
| Academic-Partner | Yes | 0.14 |
| emilia | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2024 United States Senate special election in Nebraska will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the Class 2 member of the United States Senate from Nebraska, to complete the term of Ben Sasse. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Nebraska Special Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nebraska-senate-special-election
| CryptoBecu | Yes | 0.01 |
| kienguyenm | Yes | 0.01 |
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