Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 30 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 72 daily closes on record from 30 Apr 2026 to 10 Jul 2026, the highest close was 46% on 10 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 4.5% on 16 May 2026. $67.23K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 9:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 30 Apr 2026 – 10 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2026 | 37.5% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 55.33K |
| Ex4lted | Yes | 11.06K |
| BestPlayer-222 | Yes | 10.99K |
This market resolves to the nation represented by the player who finishes as the top goalscorer across all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation represented by the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-nation-of-top-goalscorer
| Yes |
| 2.06K |
| alwayslatetotheparty | Yes | 2K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 999.99 |
| Shocking-Mint-Curd | Yes | 600 |
| LolaKiki444 | Yes | 500 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 336.23 |
| Keen Scout 64D3 | Yes | 335.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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