Resolved No on 21 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 17 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 17 Jun 2026 to 21 Jun 2026, the highest close was 17.5% on 17 Jun 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 21 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 3.5% on 20 Jun 2026. $294.16 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 22, 9:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Jun 2026 – 21 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jun 2026 | 17.5% |
| 21 Jun 2026 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 173.76 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| pd.unique | Yes | 38.03 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the listed nationality of the 2026 US Open champion. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-uptspt-open-winner-nationality-20260616032234726
New to prediction markets?
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