Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?

Resolved

No, settled May 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$106.1K

Resolved

Settled

May 1, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 May 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 9 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 47.1% on 18 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 7.6% on 21 Apr 2025. $106.06K traded over the market's life.

21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 1, 11:55 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 9 Apr 2025 – 1 May 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
9 Apr 2025	35.5%
1 May 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	47.21K
BabyYoda12	Yes	4.85K
Timbergh	Yes	3.13K
JQBcFcPEWO	Yes	982

10 of 21 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to how much "A Minecraft Movie" (2025) will gross domestically by April 30, 2025. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Minecraft-Movie-A-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the the specified date are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for the Total Gross, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by May 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.