Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 4 Jul 2026, the highest close was 95.5% on 4 Jul 2026 and the lowest 48% on 28 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 95.5% on 4 Jul 2026. $5.8K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 1:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 4 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 95.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bullishkirby | No | 4.99K |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 200 |
| lovecity0088 | No | 87.72 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a team representing the LEC beats a team representing either the LPL or a team representing the LCK in a Bo5 during MSI 2026, currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if no team representing the LEC beats a team representing either the LPL or a team representing the LCK in a Bo5 during MSI 2026. Play in matches will count for the purposes of this market. If the results of MSI 2026 are not determined by July 26, 2026 11:59 ET, the event is cancelled or postponed past July 26, 2026, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Resolution source: https://lolesports.com/en-GB/tournament/115570934354631452/stage/115570934355090205
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-lec-team-beat-an-eastern-team-in-a-bo5-at-msi-2026-20260624132300027
| 70asd | Yes | 2.69 |
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