Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 29 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 223 daily closes on record from 29 Mar 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, the highest close was 9.5% on 29 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.6% on 31 Oct 2024. $67.72K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 4:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 223 points, 29 Mar 2024 – 6 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2024 | 9.5% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 21.6K |
| ingolf2049 | Yes | 5.56K |
| kamala-is-brat | Yes | 200 |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the presidential election in Montana.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/montana-presidential-election-winner
| fuh-526 | Yes | 100 |
| Idealistic-Dictionary | No | 0.15 |
| N3onBlazeX | No | 0.07 |
| Bianca-672 | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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