Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 9 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 183 daily closes on record from 9 May 2024 to 7 Nov 2024, the highest close was 49.3% on 17 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 49.3% on 17 Oct 2024. $63.51K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 4:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 183 points, 9 May 2024 – 7 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 May 2024 | 7.5% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 1.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.3K |
| CapCom | Yes | 125 |
| userx7 | Yes | 79.23 |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the Montana Governor election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/montana-governor-election-winner
| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | Yes | 5.05 |
| novaTwist0 | No | 0.04 |
| Aged-Pheasant | No | 0.02 |
| xaypkebo | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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