Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 8% on 29 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 223 daily closes on record from 29 Mar 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, the highest close was 8.5% on 30 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 2 Nov 2024. $63.6K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 6:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 223 points, 29 Mar 2024 – 6 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2024 | 8.0% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 21.78K |
| ingolf2049 | Yes | 4.2K |
| Yahou | Yes | 1.04K |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the Louisiana presidential election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/louisiana-presidential-election-winner
| datascience1 | Yes | 971.51 |
| Cryptoverycool | Yes | 333.33 |
| Hydrogen138 | Yes | 170 |
| Crimson Quasar B0F3 | Yes | 12.5 |
| a45 | Yes | 0.35 |
| fghfhg | Yes | 0.31 |
| gfddd | Yes | 0.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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