
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 9% on 29 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 223 daily closes on record from 29 Mar 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, the highest close was 9% on 29 Mar 2024 and the lowest 1.4% on 28 Oct 2024. $135.5K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 2:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 223 points, 29 Mar 2024 – 6 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2024 | 9.0% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 46.74K |
| gPFNzNFxztRYZlqWP3W | Yes | 5.02K |
| j123874 | Yes | 1.76K |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the presidential election in Indiana.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/indiana-presidential-election-winner
| ER01MM | Yes | 285.71 |
| blacksmif | Yes | 166.62 |
| userx7 | Yes | 45.45 |
| ofo4n65dpbnm | No | 0.05 |
| awkaugtk | No | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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