Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 28 Sep 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86.5%. Yes opened at 21% on 20 Sep 2023. Before it settled, the high was 21% on 20 Sep 2023 and the low 13.5% on 21 Sep 2023. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 13.5% on 21 Sep 2023. $3.17K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 20 Sep 2023 – 28 Sep 2023, chart shows 10%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2023 | 21.0% |
| 28 Sep 2023 | 13.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MotherTheresa | Yes | 0.03 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate participating in the GOP debate scheduled for September 27, 2023 makes a racist statement during the debate. Explicitly racist remarks are defined as comments that directly discriminate, degrade, or express prejudice towards a particular race. If no such remark is made during the debate, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond October 4, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-candidate-say-something-racist-at-the-next-republican-debate
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page