Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 1% on 21 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 1.6% on 6 Nov 2024 and the low 0.1% on 23 Sep 2024. $81.87K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 6:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 48 points · 21 Sep 2024 – 7 Nov 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2024 | 1.0% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.54K |
| Phluff | Yes | 1.12K |
| Nostradumba55 | Yes | 1K |
| ER03PT | Yes | 185.71 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The 2024 United States Senate special election in Nebraska will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the Class 2 member of the United States Senate from Nebraska, to complete the term of Ben Sasse. This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate from neither the Democratic nor Republican parties wins the 2024 Nebraska Special Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nebraska-senate-special-election
| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | Yes | 32.7 |
| Sawelop | Yes | 5 |
| emilia | Yes | 0.74 |
| NXP0qRRLOf | No | 0.06 |
| Competent-Prosecution | No | 0.03 |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 0.01 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page