Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.3%. Yes opened at 0.9% on 29 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 223 daily closes on record from 29 Mar 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, the highest close was 20.6% on 6 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 20.6% on 6 Nov 2024. $205.72K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 11:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 223 points, 29 Mar 2024 – 6 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2024 | 0.9% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 20.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 21.6K |
| obucher | Yes | 152 |
| IMAsian11 | Yes | 126 |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the presidential election in Montana.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/montana-presidential-election-winner
| dorcashabeeb | Yes | 103 |
| leafamya | Yes | 45 |
| Silver Kestrel D64F | Yes | 30.45 |
| Keen Maven 17F4 | Yes | 28.34 |
| uhgcfgghjj | Yes | 17.04 |
| Rapid Kestrel 1307 | Yes | 16.89 |
| Violet Atlas 0661 | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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