
Resolved No on 7 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 1.5% on 13 Apr 2024. Before it settled, the high was 49.6% on 6 Nov 2024 and the low 0.3% on 22 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 49 points up, to 49.6% on 6 Nov 2024. $23.08K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 9:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 209 points · 13 Apr 2024 – 7 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2024 | 1.5% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.79K |
| ER03PT | Yes | 1.25K |
| Akintundee | Yes | 150 |
This is a market on the outcome of the California Senate election, focusing on which candidate will win the seat.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/california-us-senate-election-winner
| Engelbertt | Yes | 143 |
| Ovik | Yes | 140 |
| Arkss | Yes | 134 |
| Kulanara | Yes | 130 |
| Soulles | Yes | 124 |
| jofexc | Yes | 123 |
| Monsigido | Yes | 120 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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